Finante-Banci
ING: BNR nu-si atinge tinta de inflatie, iar dobanda cheie scade cu 0,75 p.p.
Banca Nationala (BNR) nu-si va atinge nici in acest an tinta de inflatie, de 3,5% +/- 1 punct procentual, chiar daca in cea mai recenta prognoza privind inflatia institutia anticipa un nivel al indicatorului de 4,3% in 2009, scriu analistii ING Bank Romania.
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Potrivit acestora, preturile au intrat pe o traiectorie descendenta in a doua jumatate a anului doar in 2006 si 2008, ani cu o productie agricola foarte buna, care este greu de obtinut in 2009.
Cu toate acestea, atrag atentia analistii, in al doilea semestru nu este de asteptat sa vedem cresteri de preturi ca in a doua jumatate a anului 2007, in conditiile in care majorarile au venit atunci si pe fondul unei deprecieri a leului.
Analistii sunt de parere ca inflatia va fi de 5,4% in 2009. Totodata, ei estimeaza ca in sedinta consiliului de administratie din septembrie banca centrala va scadea dobanda cheie cu 0,75 puncte procentuale, de la 8,5% pe an cat este in prezent.
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