Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen: BNR ar putea reduce dobanda cheie cu cel putin 0,25 p.p. pe 30 iunie
Scaderea economica rapida si datele foarte bune privind inflatia pentru luna vor determina cel mai probabil banca centrala sa scada dobanda cheie in sedinta din 30 iunie, cu 0,25 puncte procentuale, o scadere de 0,5 p.p. fiind de asemenea probabila, au scris analistii Raiffeisen Bank.
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De altfel, considera acestia, ultimele evolutii pot determina Banca Nationala a Romaniei (BNR) sa continue reducerea graduala a dobanzii, in urmatorele sedintele de politica monetara.
In consecinta, dobanzile la bonduri este foarte probabil sa scada in urmatoarele trimestre.
Banca estimeaza pentru septembrie 2009 un curs leu/euro de 4,2, pentru finele anului mizand pe aprecierea leului pana la 4,1 lei/euro. O cotatie de 4 lei/euro ar putea fi atinsa in martie 2010.
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