Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen: Deficitul de cont curent ar putea scadea la 6,5% din PIB in 2009
Deficitul de cont curent ar putea ajunge la 6,5% din PIB in 2009, fata de un nivel de 12,3% in 2008, luand in calcul evolutia deficitului comercial in ultimul timp, considera analistii Raiffeisen Bank Romania.
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Potrivit estimarilor acestora, deficitul de cont curent a reprezentat doar 5% din PIB in primul semestru, iar valoarea indicatorului din mai si iunie sugereaza ca acesta isi va pastra un nivel scazut si in al doilea semestru.
Declinul importurilor si nivelul scazut al deficitului de cont curent din lunile aprilie si mai sugereaza ca scaderea consumului si a investitiilor continua, asa incat analistii Raiffeisen se asteapta la o scadere de amploare a economiei in al doilea trimestru.
Nevoia de finantare a guvernului este mare asa incat dobanzile la titluri de stat raman ridicate, in ciuda nivelului mai scazut al acestora pe piata interbancara, mai scriu analistii.
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