Finante-Banci
UniCredit: 2008 vine cu cresterea inflatiei si a deficitelor extern si bugetar
Anul in curs va veni cu adancirea deficitului de cont curent in raport cu anul anterior, pana la 14,8% din PIB si cu cresterea inflatiei pana la 7,4%, fata de un nivel anterior de 6,57%, se mentioneaza in cel mai recent raport trimestrial al bancii italiene UniCredit.
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Banca anticipeaza totodata adancirea deficitului bugetar pana la 3% din produsul intern brut (PIB), fata de 2,4%, cat a fost in 2007.
UniCredit estimeaza ca deficitul de cont curent se va adanci pana la 14,8% din PIB in 2008, fata de 14,5% in 2007.
Totodata, pentru 2008, banca anticipeaza adancirea inflatiei anuale pana la 7,4%, cu 2,6 puncte procentuale peste nivelul superior al tintei de inflatie a bancii centrale pentru anul in curs, de 3,8% plus minus un punct procentual.
Cursul mediu de schimb va fi de 3,6 lei/euro in 2008, iar Banca Nationala a Romaniei (BNR) va majora din nou dobanda de politica monetara care va ajunge la 9,5% la finele anului.
Conform raportului bancii italiene, in 2008, cresterea economica va fi de 5,4%, in scadere fata de nivelul estimat pentru anul trecut, de 5,7%.
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