Finante-Banci
Cum va influenta leul reducerea-surpriza a dobanzii BNR?
BNR a redus dobanda-cheie mai devreme decat se astepta piata. Analistii consultati de Capital cred ca, pana la finele anului, cursul de schimb va fluctua intre 4,2 si 4,7 lei/euro.
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Chiar
daca nu se asteapta o depreciere a leului, analistii nu exclud anumite minime
si maxime in fluctuatia cursului, limite care variaza in functie de banca.
Astfel, pentru BCR, cel mai apreciat nivel
al monedei nationale din acest an ar fi de 4,30 lei pentru un euro. Unicredit
prognozeaza un interval principal de variatie de 4,30-4,50 pentru intregul an
2013, scrieCapital.
Economistul-sef
al Raiffeisen Bank, Ionut Dumitru, care anticipeaza o dobanda de 4,25% la inceputul
anului viitor, crede ca BNR va continua reducerea dobanzilor pentru a stimula
creditarea. Tot la 4,25% se opresc si estimarile expuse de economistul-sef al
ING Bank, Vlad Muscalu, si cel al BRD, Florian Libocor.
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