Finante-Banci
Deutsche Bank: Romania are o probabilitate anuala de 4,7% de nerambursare a datoriilor suverane
Romania se plaseaza pe locul 25 din punctul de
vedere al costului asigurarii datoriilor suverane impotriva riscului de neplata
si al probabilitatii anuale de rambursare a datoriilor suverane (default -
engl.), dintr-un total de 35 de state analizate de economistii de la Deutsche
Bank.
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Prima de risc (credit default swaps, CDS –
engl.) pentru datoriile Romaniei este cotata la o valoare medie de 320 de
puncte de baza (pb) pentru titlurile cu scadenta la cinci ani, iar
probabilitatea de intrare in incetare de plata este de 4,7%. Cu alte cuvinte, o
expunere pe o datorie a tarii noastre de 10 milioane de dolari pe cinci ani
costa 320.000 de dolari. La inceputul lui 2011, cotatia a fost de aproximativ
295 pb, iar la finalul lunii martie-inceputul lunii aprilie coborase la
aproximativ 220 pb, relateaza Financiarul.
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