Finante-Banci
FMI: Cresterea economica a Romaniei si functionarea creditarii interne, afectate de criza datoriilor
Dincolo de instabilitatea financiara,
traiectoria de crestere a Romaniei si functionarea creditarii interne
sunt puternic influentate de evolutiile din Europa Occidentala, orice
intensificare a crizei din zona euro ar putea cauza un proces
dezordonat de deleveraging (dezintermediere) a bancilor mama, ceea ce
ar putea avea un impact semnificativ asupra cresterii creditarii
sectorului privat in Romania, conform FMI.
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Procesul de deleveraging al bancilor
straine a fost pana acum moderat si ordonat in Romania, partial si
datorita eforturilor Initiative europene de coordonare bancara.
Corelatiile estimate ridicate dintre preturile activelor Romaniei si
costurile de creditare inseamna ca [b]Romania este vulnerabila[/b] in
urma unei intensificari a crizei din zona euro, se arata in „Raportul
de tara” dat publicitatii miercuri de Fondul Monetar
International, dupa misiunea de evaluare condusa de Erik de Vrijer,
care s-a aflat la Bucuresti in perioada 31 iulie – 14 august.
Un
proces dezordonat de deleveraging al bancilor straine risca sa duca
la o severa penurie de bani sau de credite, la presiuni asupra
balantei de plati si pierderi de rezerve, o depreciere semnificativa,
precum si efecte negative asupra economiei, informeaza Agerpres.
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