Finante-Banci
Leul va avea nevoie de aproape un an pentru a reveni la cotatia de dinaintea crizei politice
Cursul de
schimb se va situa la 4,65 lei/euro in septembrie si la 4,6 lei/euro in
decembrie, ca urmare a perioadei mai lungi de instabilitate politica si a
presiunilor externe, potrivit estimarilor BCR, insa va recupera in prima jumatate
a anului urmator, pentru a ajunge la 4,47 lei/euro in iunie.
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„Noua noastra
prognoza de curs valutar este de 4,65 lei/euro in septembrie si 4,6 lei/euro in
decembrie, ca urmare a prioadei de instabilitate mai lunga decat se estima initial
si a climatului extern nefavorabil”, afirma analistul BCR Eugen Sinca,
citat de Medifax.
BCR anticipeaza ca
leul va recupera o parte din pierdere in prima jumatate a anului urmator, cotatia
urmand sa coboare la 4,48 lei/euro in martie si 4,47lei/euro in iunie.
„Credem ca BNR va pastra regimul de curs
flotant administrat si va limita o miscare prea puternica a leului. Transferul
dinspre curs spre inflatie este puternic si asimetric in Romania, iar preturile
de consum cresc imediat dupa o depreciere a leului”, a spus Sinca.
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