Finante-Banci
UniCredit: BNR mentine dobanda cheie la 7%, PIB creste cu 5,9% in T3
UniCredit estimeaza ca Banca Nationala a Romaniei (BNR) va pastra rata dobanzii de politica monetara in sedinta din 31 octombrie, banca italiana prezentand astfel o opinie contrara aceleia exprimate de multi alti analisti financiari din piata (intre care si reprezentantii ING Bank Romania), care se asteapta la o majorare a dobanzii, pe fondul presiunilor inflationiste.
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BNR va mentine rata dobanzii cheie la 7% pana in luna iunie 2008, cand o va miscora cu 0,5 puncte procentuale, de la 7% la 6,5%, se mentioneaza in cel mai recent raport UniCredit.
Totodata, Unicredit se asteapta ca produsul intern brut (PIB) sa inregistreze in trimestrul 3 o crestere 5,9%, si la o franare usoara a cresterii economice in trimestrul 4, pana la 5,8%. Ambele rezultate ar depasi insa cresterea inregistrat in T2, de 5,6%.
Totodata, banca mizeaza pe stabilizarea cursului leu/euro la nivelul de 3,33, nivel ce se va mentine pana in luna iunie 2008.
Cresterea preturilor de consum nu arata semne de temperare, se mai arata in raport, asa ca presiunile inflationiste persista.
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