Finante-Banci
BCR: Banca centrala ar putea urca dobanda-cheie la 8,5% in T1
Banca centrala ar putea inaspri in continuare conditiile de politica monetara, printr-o noua majorare a dobanzii cheie pana la 8,5%, chiar in primul trimestru al anului, in special daca leul va fi in continuare slab in raport cu euro, estimeaza analistii Bancii Comerciale Romane (BCR) intr-un raport.
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Totodata, nivelul inflatiei se va situa in jurul valorii de 7% in lunile urmatoare, conform studiului BCR.
Banca centrala a urcat luni dobanda de referinta la 8%, atragand tot luni excesul de lichiditate de pe piata interbancara la depozitele pe doua saptamani la noua dobanda de referinta.
BCR considera ca decizia bancii centrale arata dorinta clara a BNR de a ancora inflatia in interiorul intervalului de variatie al tintei pe 2008, de 3,8% plus minus un punct procentual.
In opinia analistilor bancii comerciale, tinta de inflatie ar putea fi atinsa in conditiile in care politica monetara va fi sprijinita de deciziile guvernamentale.
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