Finante-Banci
Raiffeisen: Leul ar putea urma un trend de apreciere in perioada urmatoare
Scaderea deficitului comercial si stirea ca Romania a ajuns la un acord cu FMI pentru a doua transa de imprumut ar trebui sa vina in sprijinul leului, care ar putea urma perioada ce va veni un trend de apreciere, considera analistii Raiffeisen Bank Romania.
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Astfel, acestia mentioneaza ca datele referitoare la deficitul comercial pe luna iunie arata ca indicatorul si-a continuat corectia rapida, pe fondul scaderii mai accentuate a importurilor decat a exporturilor.
Evolutia ar trebui sa fie benefica pentru leu, tinand cont ca deficitul comercial mare din trecut a fost principalul factor de depreciere pentru moneda, dupa declansarea crizei economice.
Analistii mai scriu ca leul nu a reusit in perioada ce a trecut sa beneficieze de aprecierea rapida pe care au cunoscut-o celelalte monede din zona, dar a fost mult mai stabil decat acestea, ceea ce este mai important.
In perioada urmatoare moneda nationala se va tranzactiona cel mai probabil in intervalul 4,19 -4,23 lei/euro, considera reprezentantii Raiffeisen.
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